Yorkshire & Humber climate change adaptation

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yorkshirefutures
  

Royal Haskoning

  
UK Climate Impacts Programme
  
 
  Environment Agency
 
Yorkshire Forward
  
Yorkshire and Humber Assembly
  
 
 

 

adm results - soil moisture

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Mean Available Water Content (% of saturation)
Results indicate that overall, significant drying is projected, with decreases in mean available water content throughout the region. Changes in this parameter range from reductions of 5 to 19%.
Location

Baseline

2050s

Absolute Change
Relative Change (%)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

  

1

44

-

39

-

-5.0

-11.4

2

56

-

53

-

-3.0

-5.4

3

43

-

39

-

-4.0

-9.3

4

54

-

46

-

-8.0

-14.8

5

53

-

43

-

-10.0

-18.9

6

48

-

44

-

-4.0

-8.3

7

54

-

44

-

-10.0

-18.5

8

45

-

40

-

-5.0

-11.1

 

No of days soil saturated (-)
There will be large decreases in the number of days when soils are saturated and in some locations this problem will not be experienced by the 2050s.

Location

Baseline

2050s

Absolute Change
Relative Change (%)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

  

1

2

-

0

-

-2

-100.0

2

26

-

7

-

-19

-73.1

3

2

-

1

-

-1

-50.0

4

12

-

2

-

-10

-83.3

5

7

-

1

-

-6

-85.7

6

5

-

1

-

-4

-80.0

7

7

-

1

-

-6

-85.7

8

2

-

0

-

-2

-100.0

 

No of days soil wet (at field capacity or above)
There will be a reduction of between 11 and 30% in the number of days of wet soil.
Location

Baseline

2050s

Absolute Change
Relative Change (%)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

  

1

169

-

134

-

-35

-20.7

2

200

-

178

-

-22

-11.0

3

168

-

143

-

-25

-14.9

4

135

-

119

-

-16

-11.9

5

135

-

95

-

-40

-29.6

6

198

-

174

-

-24

-12.1

7

135

-

96

-

-39

-28.9

8

187

-

152

-

-35

-18.7

 

No of days soil dry  (at wilting point or below)
There are projected to be significant increases in the number of days with available water content at the arbitrary wilting point or below. Changes are projected to be greatest at Askrigg, Scarborough, York and Hull, but remain very high at all other locations.
Location

Baseline

2050s

Absolute Change
Relative Change (%)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

  

1

144

-

182

-

+38

+26.4

2

59

-

94

-

+35

+59.3

3

148

-

182

-

+34

+23.0

4

75

-

136

-

+61

+81.3

5

77

-

155

-

+78

+101.3

6

109

-

140

-

+31

+28.4

7

76

-

144

-

+68

+89.5

8

128

-

170

-

+42

+32.8

 

 

 
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