earwig results - 10th percentile extreme cold temperature
10th Percentile Temperature
Autumn temperatures will experience the greatest increase in extreme 10th percentile temperatures ranging from 1.7 ºC to 2.1 ºC. Winter temperatures are to remain below 0 ºC for the entire season into the 2050s.
Spring Extreme 10th PercentileTemperature (cold) temp (ºC) The 10th percentile (10% of days have colder temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of March, April and May.
Location
Baseline (ºC)
2050s (ºC)
Absolute Change (ºC)
Mean
Mean
1
0.4
2.1
+1.7
2
-2.1
-0.4
+1.7
3
-1.1
0.5
+1.6
4
0.4
2.0
+1.6
5
1.0
2.7
+1.8
6
0.4
2.2
+1.7
7
1.3
3.0
+1.7
8
0.4
2.1
+1.7
Summer Extreme 10th PercentileTemperature (cold) temp (ºC) The 10th percentile (10% of days have colder temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of June, July and August.
Location
Baseline (ºC)
2050s (ºC)
Absolute Change (ºC)
Mean
Mean
1
9.2
10.8
+1.6
2
6.6
8.2
+1.6
3
7.8
9.4
+1.6
4
9.2
11.0
+1.8
5
10.0
11.8
+1.8
6
9.7
11.5
+1.8
7
10.2
11.8
+1.7
8
9.6
11.5
+1.9
Autumn Extreme 10th PercentileTemperature (cold) temp (ºC) The 10th percentile (10% of days have colder temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of September, October and November.
Location
Baseline (ºC)
2050s (ºC)
Absolute Change (ºC)
Mean
Mean
1
0.1
1.8
+1.7
2
-1.9
-0.1
+1.8
3
-0.8
0.9
+1.7
4
0.4
2.2
+1.8
5
0.4
2.4
+2.0
6
-0.4
1.7
+2.1
7
0.9
2.9
+2.0
8
-0.4
1.5
+1.9
Winter Extreme 10th PercentileTemperature (cold) temp (ºC) The 10th percentile (10% of days have colder temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of December, January and February.
