earwig results -90th percentile extreme hot temperature
Extreme 90th Percentile Hot Temperature
Seasonally, autumn will experience the greatest change in the 10% days that have hotter temperatures than the 90th percentile. All the areas of the region will see a high increase in temperature averaging at 3.0 ºC. Summer temperatures will approach and record beyond 30 ºC by the 2050s.
Spring Extreme 90th PercentileTemperature (hot) temp (ºC) The 90th percentile (10% of days have hotter temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of March, April and May.
Location
Baseline (ºC)
2050s (ºC)
Absolute Change (ºC)
Mean
Mean
1
22.6
24.5
+1.9
2
22.0
23.9
+1.9
3
21.6
23.4
+1.8
4
22.1
23.9
+1.8
5
23.6
25.7
+2.1
6
24.5
26.5
+2.0
7
23.0
24.8
+1.8
8
24.7
26.8
+2.1
Summer Extreme 90th PercentileTemperature (hot) temp (ºC) The 90th percentile (10% of days have hotter temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of June, July and August.
Location
Baseline (ºC)
2050s (ºC)
Absolute Change (ºC)
Mean
Mean
1
27.6
30.4
+2.8
2
26.8
29.6
+2.8
3
26.6
29.4
+2.8
4
27.3
30.1
+2.8
5
28.9
31.9
+3.0
6
29.8
32.9
+3.1
7
28.3
31.3
+3.0
8
30.1
33.3
+3.2
Autumn Extreme 90th PercentileTemperature (hot) temp (ºC) The 90th percentile (10% of days have hotter temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of September, October and November.
Location
Baseline (ºC)
2050s (ºC)
Absolute Change (ºC)
Mean
Mean
1
24.3
26.9
+2.7
2
22.3
25.3
+3.0
3
22.8
25.9
+3.0
4
24.0
27.0
+2.9
5
25.3
28.4
+3.1
6
25.6
28.9
+3.3
7
25.1
28.1
+3.0
8
25.8
29.1
+3.3
Winter Extreme 90th PercentileTemperature (hot) temp (ºC) The 90th percentile (10% of days have hotter temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of December, January and February.
