earwig results - 95th percentile extreme hot temperature
Extreme 95th Percentile Hot Temperature
Similar to the 90th percentile, the extreme 95th percentile high temperature changes will be greatest in the autumn and with the greatest range from 2.6 ºC in an upland area to 3.4 ºC in the Humber. Mean temperatures in the summer will all be above 30 ºC with the warmest temperatures in the winter constantly above 15 ºC.
Spring Extreme 95th PercentileTemperature (hot) temp (ºC) The 95th percentile (5% of days have hotter temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of March, April and May.
Location
Baseline (ºC)
2050s (ºC)
Absolute Change (ºC)
Mean
Mean
1
23.5
25.3
+1.8
2
22.8
24.9
+2.0
3
22.6
24.3
+1.8
4
22.9
24.7
+1.8
5
24.3
26.5
+2.3
6
25.4
27.4
+2.0
7
23.8
25.6
+1.9
8
25.5
27.6
+2.1
Summer Extreme 95th PercentileTemperature (hot) temp (ºC) The 95th percentile (5% of days have hotter temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of June, July and August.
Location
Baseline (ºC)
2050s (ºC)
Absolute Change (ºC)
Mean
Mean
1
28.3
31.2
+2.9
2
27.5
30.3
+2.9
3
27.3
30.1
+2.8
4
28.0
30.7
+2.8
5
29.5
32.6
+3.1
6
30.5
33.6
+3.1
7
28.9
32.0
+3.1
8
30.9
34.1
+3.2
Autumn Extreme 95th PercentileTemperature (hot) temp (ºC) The 95th percentile (5% of days have hotter temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of September, October and November.
Location
Baseline (ºC)
2050s (ºC)
Absolute Change (ºC)
Mean
Mean
1
25.1
27.7
+2.6
2
23.0
26.1
+3.1
3
23.5
26.6
+3.0
4
24.6
27.6
+2.9
5
26.0
29.2
+3.2
6
26.3
29.7
+3.4
7
25.8
28.8
+2.9
8
26.6
29.9
+3.2
Winter Extreme 95th PercentileTemperature (hot) temp (ºC) The 95th percentile (5% of days have hotter temperatures than this) in the temperature distribution for all days in the months of December, January and February.
