Yorkshire & Humber climate change adaptation

... it matters to all ...

 
 
yorkshirefutures
 

Royal Haskoning

 
UK Climate Impacts Programme
 
 
  Environment Agency
 
Yorkshire Forward
 
Yorkshire and Humber Assembly
 
 
 

 

earwig results - seasonal daily maximum temperature

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Seasonal Daily Maximum Temperature
Season predictions indicate that the greatest increase in long term average maximum temperatures will be in the summer and autumn months. The change is predicted to be up to 3.1ºC. The lowest change will be during the winter months in the upland and baron areas of the region with an average of 1.2ºC.

 

Spring Daily Maximum Temperature
The long-term average daily maximum air temperature observed over the months of March, April and May.

Location

Baseline (ºC)

2050s (ºC)

Absolute Change (ºC)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

1

20.2

1.9

22.0

1.9

+1.9

2

19.1

2.2

20.9

2.3

+1.8

3

19.0

2.0

20.9

1.9

+1.9

4

19.7

1.8

21.6

1.8

+1.8

5

21.2

1.8

23.2

1.9

+2.0

6

21.9

2.0

23.8

2.0

+2.0

7

20.6

1.8

22.5

1.8

+1.9

8

22.0

2.0

24.0

2.1

+2.0

 

Summer Daily Maximum Temperature
The long-term average daily maximum air temperature observed over the months of June, July and August.

Location

Baseline (ºC)

2050s (ºC)

Absolute Change (ºC)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

1

25.6

1.5

28.4

1.6

+2.8

2

24.5

1.7

27.2

1.8

+2.7

3

24.5

1.6

27.2

1.6

+2.7

4

25.3

1.4

28.1

1.5

+2.7

5

26.9

1.5

29.9

1.6

+3.0

6

27.8

1.6

30.7

1.7

+3.0

7

26.4

1.5

29.3

1.5

+2.9

8

27.9

1.7

31.0

1.8

+3.1

 

Autumn Daily Maximum Temperature
The long-term average daily maximum air temperature observed over the months of September, October and November.

Location

Baseline (ºC)

2050s (ºC)

Absolute Change (ºC)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

1

22.1

1.7

24.7

1.7

+2.6

2

19.9

1.8

22.8

1.9

+2.9

3

20.7

1.7

23.6

1.7

+2.9

4

22.0

1.5

24.8

1.6

+2.8

5

23.1

1.7

26.2

1.7

+3.1

6

23.3

1.7

26.4

1.9

+3.1

7

23.0

1.6

25.9

1.6

+2.9

8

23.4

1.8

26.5

1.9

+3.1

 

Winter Daily Maximum Temperature
The long-term average daily maximum air temperature observed over the months of December, January and February.

Location

Baseline (ºC)

2050s (ºC)

Absolute Change (ºC)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

1

13.7

1.7

14.9

1.7

+1.2

2

11.6

1.8

12.8

1.7

+1.2

3

12.1

1.7

13.3

1.6

+1.2

4

13.4

1.7

14.7

1.6

+1.3

5

14.6

1.8

15.9

1.7

+1.3

6

14.8

1.9

16.0

1.8

+1.2

7

14.4

1.7

15.6

1.6

+1.2

8

14.6

1.9

15.9

1.9

+1.3