Yorkshire & Humber climate change adaptation

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Royal Haskoning

 
UK Climate Impacts Programme
 
 
  Environment Agency
 
Yorkshire Forward
 
Yorkshire and Humber Assembly
 
 
 

 

earwig results - seasonal daily minimum temperature

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Seasonal Daily Minimum Temperature
Summer minimum temperatures will see the greatest increase compared to other seasons. The change will be up to 2.1 ºC. Autumn minimum temperatures will also experience a similar increase to those in summer. Those in spring and winter will increase but at a lower range of 1.5 ºC to 1.7 ºC.

 

Spring Daily Minimum Temperature
The long-term average daily minimum air temperature observed over the months of March, April and May.

Location

Baseline (ºC)

2050s (ºC)

Absolute Change (ºC)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

1

2.6

1.6

4.2

1.6

+1.6

2

0.1

1.7

1.8

1.6

+1.6

3

1.1

1.7

2.6

1.6

+1.6

4

2.5

1.6

4.1

1.6

+1.6

5

3.3

1.7

4.9

1.7

+1.7

6

2.9

1.8

4.6

1.8

+1.7

7

3.4

1.6

5.0

1.6

+1.6

8

2.7

1.8

4.4

1.7

+1.7

 

Summer Daily Minimum Temperature
The long-term average daily minimum air temperature observed over the months of June, July and August.

Location

Baseline (ºC)

2050s (ºC)

Absolute Change (ºC)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

1

11.2

1.5

13.0

1.6

+1.8

2

8.8

1.7

10.6

1.8

+1.8

3

9.8

1.5

11.6

1.7

+1.8

4

11.3

1.5

13.1

1.6

+1.8

5

12.0

1.5

14.0

1.7

+2.0

6

11.9

1.6

14.0

1.8

+2.0

7

12.1

1.5

14.0

1.6

+1.8

8

11.8

1.7

13.9

1.8

+2.1

 

Autumn Daily Minimum Temperature
The long-term average daily minimum air temperature observed over the months of September, October and November.

Location

Baseline (ºC)

2050s (ºC)

Absolute Change (ºC)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

1

2.8

2.0

4.6

2.1

+1.8

2

0.7

2.0

2.5

2.0

+1.8

3

1.7

1.9

3.4

2.0

+1.8

4

3.1

2.0

4.8

2.0

+1.7

5

3.1

2.1

5.1

2.0

+1.9

6

2.5

2.2

4.5

2.2

+2.0

7

3.6

2.0

5.5

2.0

+1.9

8

2.4

2.2

4.3

2.2

+1.9

 

Winter Daily Minimum Temperature
The long-term average daily minimum air temperature observed over the months of December, January and February.

Location

Baseline (ºC)

2050s (ºC)

Absolute Change (ºC)

Mean

Standard Deviation

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

1

-1.5

2.0

0.1

1.8

+1.6

2

-3.8

2.0

-2.3

2.0

+1.5

3

-2.7

1.9

-1.2

1.8

+1.5

4

-1.2

1.7

0.4

1.7

+1.6

5

-1.3

2.0

0.5

2.0

+1.7

6

-2.0

2.2

-0.4

2.2

+1.6

7

-0.7

1.9

0.9

1.8

+1.6

8

-2.2

2.3

-0.6

2.2

+1.6